春妮的周末时光

Winter is Coming: German Economy Doomed in Wake of Anti-Russian Sanctions, Scholars Say_我的网站

一 |     追踪海量预告片是一项几乎不可能完成的任务。    While Germany's producer prices observe the biggest rise since records began in 1949, the index has also shown the biggest month-on-month increase, leaping 5.3% from June to July.,"The outlook for the further development [of the economy] is currently noticeably gloomy," and marked by "a high degree of uncertainty," Germany's Finance Ministry said in its August monthly report, quoted by Reuters.,"We have something like a tsunami coming," said Florian Josef Hoffmann, former president of the Chamber of Industry and Commerce East Thuringia and author of "Occupy Economics." "It’s calm water, everything goes slowly down. For example, furniture retail has completely stopped and other things are going down, too. Everything goes slower step by step. But the disaster comes, as I told you, in autumn. And that will be very bad. I can't imagine that this economy can easily survive this really critical situation.",Germans have been experiencing some pre-existing domestic problems as the government turned down nuclear and coal plants in order to switch over to gas and renewables, he noted. However, anti-Russian sanctions which included a sweeping energy embargo "create a real huge problem for the economy because it is based on the cheap Russian gas and now it's cut down by the own will of the government," according to Hoffmann.,"They cut down the gas import [from Russia]," he explained. "So the whole strategy of the past is ruined, and that's the problem. And that makes for great uncertainty because more or less the ship runs against the ice mountain. It's more than uncertainty; I see even the crash coming along for the German economy, not only because of these sanctions, but because of the consequences of the sanctions.",Energy Crisis in EuropeEU Will Not Replace Russian Gas in Full If Nord Stream 1 Remains Shut, Expert Says19 July, 18:20 GMT,The Russo-German chill started with Berlin suspending the Nord Stream 2 project on February 22, 2022. Moscow launched a special military operation to demilitarize and de-Nazify Ukraine two days later, after the US, NATO and the EU defied Russia's draft security agreements envisaging ending the transatlantic military alliance's expansion and deployment in Ukraine.,In the aftermath of the operation, the US and its NATO allies have introduced several packages of sanctions. The EU pledged to end its dependence on Russian fossil fuels before 2030, following in Washington and London's footsteps. In April, Brussels laid out targets to slash its demand for Russian natural gas by two-thirds by the end of 2022.,Western sanctions also complicated Gazprom's maintenance of the existing Nord Stream 1 infrastructure. The Russian company was forced to reduce shipments via the network in mid-June over delays in the repair of a Siemens-built high-pressure gas pumping turbine in Canada. Ottawa deliberately delayed the return of the turbine, which had undergone maintenance work, back to Europe, citing anti-Russian sanctions. To make matters worse, the Canadian side did not provide proper documentation for the turbine which resulted in further delays. In late July, Gazprom said that it had to stop the operation of another Siemens gas turbine engine for maintenance, which prompted western press to groundlessly claim that Russia was deliberately cutting gas supplies to Europe.,Berlin's energy policy is dictated from Washington for the detriment of the people of Germany, according to Dr. Christian Blex, an AfD lawmaker from the state parliament of North Rhine-Westphalia.,"The sanctions that the hypermoral German government in particular is repeatedly demanding are therefore particularly bad for our country," he said. "Any responsible government would base its actions on the well-being of its own people rather than acting as a vassal of the US.",Energy Crisis in EuropeGermany Should Immediately Launch Nord Stream 2, Bundestag Vice Speaker Says08:42 GMT,Biggest Problems Coming in Autumn, Winter,As of yet, the negative impact of sanctions is not particularly felt by ordinary Germans, according to the observers.,"At the moment we don't feel anything. Big bills are only announced and haven't yet reached the consumers," said Hoffmann. "But the announcements are that the energy prices will go up three to five fold, for many people [this will be] simply unpayable. That’s what is going to come in autumn. Ordinary people prepare by buying canned food or wood or gas stoves. What I also know is, for instance, that not only the ordinary people, but also the cities are preparing. The city of Dusseldorf is cutting down the heating of all gangways in their administration facilities. They are cutting the temperature down from 21 degrees centigrade to 19 or even 17, closing saunas and heating outside swimming pools. They are cutting down lights on public buildings.",While the people are not yet in panic, the German authorities are, according to Hoffmann.,"The government is talking about reducing the turnover tax for gas from 19% to 7% and they are trying to reduce the tax load for pensioners and other instruments to calm down the people," he noted. "But it's ridiculous what they plan when you look at the task of breaking a huge breakdown of the economy. It's only peanuts.",Meanwhile, businesses are expecting climbing power prices, and they are already thinking about how to compensate for that, according to him.,"The German economy looks to the future with serious concerns," echoed Blex. "In contrast to many citizens, business knows exactly what the energy crisis will bring. In public, however, criticism is heard only hesitantly. Fear of green politics and the media is still very great. As the suffering increases, the criticism will become louder… The biggest problems are coming up for the ordinary people with the inflation of food prices and extremely with the power costs. It will hit the poor, the low income class, those who will have to pay not 40, 50 or 60 euros per month for their power, but 200, 400 or even 500. That will make them not only hungry but upset.",WorldGerman Craftsmen Urge Chancellor Scholz to Scrap Sanctions Against Russia13:40 GMT,The AfD lawmaker expects a worsening recession with industrial production falling noticeably in Germany. He forecasts that short-time work will be reintroduced, adding that retailers are already noticing that more and more Germans are making significant savings. After all, the German national debt will continue to rise rapidly, according to him.,For his part, Hoffmann does not rule out that the people will eventually take to the streets en masse, stressing that the German government has already been preparing for this scenario.,"Our Ministry of Defense is preparing a special task force of 1900 soldiers, which have to keep peace within the country," he said. "This is an incredible decision. Our Bundeswehr is an army solely for defense against attacks from the outside. This basic rule is now broken, which means we are now in a totalitarian regime which has no respect for laws and our Constitution. They simply do what they want including censorship. And as one can see, they are preparing for a revolution.",Hoffmann cites German Chancellor Olaf Scholz as saying that the country's forces won't shoot at the people. However, the author expresses skepticism about Scholz' pledge: "It is like 'nobody wants to build a wall' in 1961 and then it was built some weeks later. So, the situation is disastrous," he concluded.。观看清单从未缩短，仿佛数字版的西西弗斯。为了拨开迷雾，让追踪最酷内容的过程不再乏味，我开设了这个专栏，旨在收集过去一周（左右）最值得关注的游戏、电影和电视剧预告片，排名不分先后。我会（尽量）避开那些空洞的先导片和公告，重点推荐那些看起来特别酷的小众作品，并精心策划一份真正值得你花时间的短中篇视频清单。那么，请看：预告片大赏！D23：《复仇者联盟：末日之日》、VisionQuest、《阿索卡》第二季等这实际上是我第一次做预告片汇总，所以考虑到上周末迪士尼的大型营销粉丝活动 D23，我给自己留了一些覆盖时间上的余地。公司发布了一大堆即将推出的项目预告片，包括《复仇者联盟：末日之日》的新镜头、Disney+ 的 VisionQuest 和《阿索卡》第二季等等。其中最让人不安的是：3D 版《布鲁伊》。查看 D23 公布的所有内容。更多 D23 内容：Kingdom Hearts IV来自 D23 的另一支重磅预告片：我们首次看到了新款 Kingdom Hearts IV 的近 4 分钟实机演示，视频展示了《寻梦环游记》（Coco）的世界（很可爱），随后索拉闯入，挥舞着键刃。现场还透露了另一个劲爆消息：Kingdom Hearts 将于明年在 Disney+ 上推出动画改编版。查看 Kingdom Hearts IV 专题回顾。《沙丘 3》把这个 33 秒的《沙丘 3》售票先导片称为“预告片”，我确实有点慷慨了。但说真的，只要弗雷曼人的战歌响起，我就一定会看。它至少让我们初次窥见了宇航公会领航员埃德里克的配音。

二 | 向那些抢到 IMAX 票的朋友们表示祝贺。《沙丘 3》将于 12 月 18 日上映，IMAX 和 70mm 胶片场将于 12 月 14 日提前点映。

三 | 《匹兹堡》（The Pitt）第三季新鲜出炉，这是《匹兹堡》下一季的一段（内容充实的）先导预告。看来罗比医生确实在摩托车休假中幸存了下来；第三季将涵盖他重返工作岗位的第一天。

四 | 当然，这注定是个大麻烦。《匹兹堡》第三季将于 2027 年 1 月起在 HBO Max 每周更新。《鲸落》（Whalefall）自从两个月前第一支先导片发布以来，我一直称《鲸落》为今秋最强的 4DX 体验。新预告片更加坚定了我的看法；我是对的。奥斯汀·艾布拉姆斯被困在鲸鱼腹中，氧气瓶只剩一小时，还被他父亲（由乔什·布洛林饰演）睿智的声音所困扰。（这两人在《武器》之后再度重聚；这次不打架了！）《鲸落》将于 10 月 16 日上映。《蓝眼武士》第二季距离《蓝眼武士》第一季播出已经快三年了。

五 | 第二季的首支预告片没让人失望，水木在波涛汹涌的大海上出发前往伦敦。这段视频来自 Netflix 在 Anime NYC 上的重大发布，其中还包括《赛博朋克：边缘行者 2》、Bass X Machina 和《愚夜》——老实说，没一个拉胯的。查看 Netflix 在 Anime NYC 上发布的所有内容。

六 | Silent Hill Townfall 实机预告片在观看了近 19 分钟的实机演示后，我仍然完全不知道 Silent Hill Townfall 讲的是什么。主角西蒙从海中爬出，然后在圣阿米莉亚附近徘徊。社区里有动乱？一个做器官移植的护士？你得直接给断路器付钱才能用电？那个头上插着木板、穿着束缚衣的生物是怎么回事？？？说实话，无所谓了：气氛诡异到了极点。2026 年是新英格兰惊悚岛屿之年（另见：Widow’s Bay）。Silent Hill Townfall 将于 9 月 24 日在 PS5 和 PC 平台发售。金斧头™II“哇，是那个游戏吗？太棒了！”我从没想过能看到世嘉 金斧头™II 的改编作品，更别提觉得它可能还不错了？马修·瑞斯、丹尼·普迪、利亚姆·麦金泰尔和卡尔·塔特组成了配音阵容，预告片展示了该系列那种不知为何并不讨人厌的元幽默基调。金斧头™II 将于 9 月 16 日起在 Paramount+ 播出。Black Myth: Zhong Kui 实机预告片游戏科学继 Black Myth: Wukong 之后的又一力作本周迎来了自去年开幕之夜直播以来的首次重大展示，发布了一段长达 15 分钟（！）的实机演示。视频采用了狂野的 21:9 纵横比拍摄，除此之外看起来非常流畅。我们特别喜欢它的弹反机制。

七 | Black Myth: Zhong Kui 将在……未来某个时候发布。目前尚未公布发售日期或登陆平台。《永不入夜》（Never After Dark）我是因为史蒂芬·金说它不错才看的，我得同意他的看法。《永不入夜》看起来相当棒！由星萌华（你在《幕府将军》中见过她）主演，饰演一名通过剪掉头发与彼岸沟通的灵媒，《永不入夜》讲述了她最近一次似乎进展非常顺利的驱魔仪式。《永不入夜》将于 9 月 25 日上映。《慢马》第六季如果你还没看《慢马》，那你正错过目前娱乐界最顶尖的间谍剧之一。

八 | 最棒的是，Apple TV 基本上每年都会推出新一季，这种节奏在当今的电视剧集中非常罕见。

九 | 总之，第六季的新预告片看起来很棒，但在最后包含了一个相当令人震惊的剧透，这原本留到正片里可能会更好。《慢马》第六季将于 9 月 16 日起在 Apple TV 每周更新。《野林》（Wildwood）我非常讨厌配乐里那段戏剧性的管弦乐版 Avicii 翻唱。然而，画面看起来如此惊艳，以至于我可以（几乎）原谅这段音乐选择。视频展示了一个姐姐在深邃的奇幻森林中寻找失踪弟弟的旅程。Laika 工作室从不失手！《野林》将于 10 月 23 日上映。《俱乐部男孩》（Club Kid）《俱乐部男孩》是今年戛纳电影节最热门的黑马作品之一，现在从它幽默而温柔的预告片中，我明白了原因。乔丹·福斯特曼（《我爱洛杉矶》、网络红人）自编自导自演了这部（极具纽约布什维克风格的）电影，讲述了一位夜店推广人得知自己有个儿子的故事。《俱乐部男孩》将于 11 月 6 日限量上映。本周你观看并喜欢哪些预告片？。

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